Technical Advantages and Limitations for the Applicability of Okun's Law and Phillips Curve to Macroeconomics Analysis in the Context of the Malawian Economy

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Technical Advantages and Limitations for the Applicability of Okun's Law and Phillips Curve to Macroeconomics Analysis in the Context of the Malawian Economy

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Title: Technical Advantages and Limitations for the Applicability of Okun's Law and Phillips Curve to Macroeconomics Analysis in the Context of the Malawian Economy
Author: Kamdima, Harry Gerson
Abstract: In an economy people and industries, demand the supply of inputs, services and goods. However the sophisticated relationship between inputs, goods, and the price attached to the goods and inputs is a puzzle as presented by Knotek (2007). He argues that from the beginning of 2003 through first quarter of 2006, real gross domestic product (GDP), a measure of the country’s economic success, determined from its output, of the United States (US) grew at an average of 3.4 percent annually and unemployment fell as expected. Over the course of the next year unemployment continued to go down regardless of a slow growth to less than half of earlier growth rate in the economy. The expectation of policy makers and economists was that of increase in unemployment, which was not the case. Further to that Nugent (1982) in studying the economy of Latin America confesses of the controversy that exists in the relationship of the same unemployment and the increase in price levels, commonly known as inflation. He presents that the relationship is unstable, as was the conclusion in the latter case. Same was the finding of Case and Fair (1999) on US economy for 1960-1997, with the breakdown of the relationship in 1970. He then calls it one of the more controversial subjects in macroeconomics during the last two decades. Nevertheless Knotek states that the relationship between unemployment and output enjoys empirical support and Friedman claims that the relationship between unemployment and inflation plays the important role of the “missing equation”. The former relationship is what has come to be known as Okuns law taking after the early 1960s economist Arthur Okun, while the latter Phillips curve, named after the finding of the economist Phillip in 1958. The two forms the major discussion of this study with special reference to Malawi, there advantages and limitations in their applicability based on empirical evidence.
Description: The first part of this paper presents an understanding of the Phillips curve and Okun’s law, their advantages and limitations. The second part presents the analysis of the Malawi economy, and the applicability of the two theories to the economy.
URI: http://www.ndr.mw:8080/xmlui/handle/123456789/555
Date: 2010-08


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